It’s one of the highlights of the NFL schedule as NFL bettors shift their focus to the traditional Thanksgiving Day triple-header and we are here to help. If you’re getting in on the action you’ll be interested to know that favorites are dominating in Thanksgiving Day games posting a 23-10 ATS record over the last 11 years. Here to serve up a feast full of stats and trends is the paper chaser Joe Osborne. First up, the appetizer and you’re definitely barking up the right tree if feeling the Vikings as underdogs over the Lions.
Minnesota open as a two-and-a-half point dog and have cleaned up in this spot posting a 9-2 straight up and ATS record as an underdog of two and a half points or less and as a road underdog they’re breaking the bank with a run that’s seen them go 9-1 ATS in their last ten as road dogs. As for the Lions they’re on a bit of a roll themselves with covers in five of their last six games, but they’ve struggled to cover when the Vikings come to town as they’ve gone just one and four ATS in the last five games between the teams in the Motor City. Next up the main course with the Cowboys playing host to the Redskins. Like a human stampede on Black Friday at Walmart the Cowboys have been absolutely running over the competition. Yes they’ve now won and covered the spread in nine straight games, and will attempt to become the first team since the 1992 Chargers to cover the spread in ten consecutive regular-season games. Washington is also one of the hottest bets in the NFL with the 7-1 ATS record in their last eight games but the difference in this one might be the Cowboys defense that’s allowing just 18.2 points per game at home.
With the spread hovering around the seven-point mark bettors will want to keep in mind that the Cowboys already have seven wins of seven or more points this season, Crystall Ball writes. Next we have dessert and with Black Friday coming up there’s lots of good bargains that there but what’s the best deal? Two for the price on Wrangler jeans at kmart not bad but that’s not it. How about a King of Queens complete series box set sixty percent off at BestBuy? Not even close. With Andrew Luck likely to miss the game due to a concussion his loss of brain cells becomes our gain as the Steelers are this week’s best bargin. The colts fall off significantly with Scott Tolzien, owner one career TD pass and five interceptions, filling in for when the league’s top QBs which should enable the Steelers to add to a trend that’s seen them win 13 of their last 15 games over the Colts. The line for this one reopened with the Steelers favored by six and don’t be scared off if that grows even bigger as this one has blowout written all over it. Finally a friendly reminder not to take any guff anyone on Black Friday. If another shopper or customer service worker throws the first punch it’s legally within your rights to defend yourself.
Enjoy the Thanksgiving action and as always keep chasing that paper. Another thing for bettors to keep in mind is that Thanksgiving Day games tend to be not very good since 2000 28 of the 42 games have been decided by double digits and the games had an average win margin of just under 16. A more recent trend has seen the over hitting in nine of the last 12 Thanksgiving games so we’re wishing you a belly full of turkey and a pocketful of paper.